Most of us know about Alaska's
precarious position in the current cycle of global warming. While
the average global warming currently stands just under 1 degree C,
it is more than 2 degrees C at the poles. Alaska is warming much
faster than the continental US, and its ecology is rapidly changing.
One of the most poignant moments at Lafayette Park in DC a year ago
at the
March for Our Grandchildren was the story by a
pre-teen Inuit boy in the far north who had witnessed the death of
his village as the ground under it thawed and it started to slide
into the Arctic Ocean (scroll down to Aug 2 post). We never traveled that far north – the
closest we came to the Arctic Circle was one hundred miles south –
but we did witness some of the effects of climate change in Alaska
firsthand.
Driving north on the Haines and
Alaskan highways, we saw a lot of dead and dying spruce. As you head
into Fairbanks, a wide plain that is not heavily forested, the
majority of tress are spindly black spruce, growing out of the
muskeg, with permafrost underneath. The permafrost melts more each
year, so other species are coming in, especially birch. We observed
die-off as we headed northwest from Fairbanks to Denali Park by train
as well. But we also saw a lot of new growth replacing the dead
trees. I read that the situation is much worse to the north in the
Arctic Circle, where the boreal forest is hard-hit by drought and
the heat has lengthened the annual activity span of all conifer
beetles, in this case,
the spruce beetle.
As we made our way to Denali, we
learned of a fire in the Kenai Peninsula. I met a Native Alaskan in
Tok who was headed to forest fighter retraining, readying himself to
join the forces fighting the big fire in the southwest. It
eventually grew to just under 200,000 acres before finally burning
out. One day towards the end of our time at Denali, the morning mist
was replaced by smoke, which persisted for the rest of the day,
rendering visibility minimal. We were over 400 miles to the
northeast of the fire, but the winds were blowing our way. The
problem with the fire, other than negligence, is that Alaska, like
the West Coast, is in drought. Everywhere we went, folks were very
careful about fires, and there were no-burn zones posted frequently.
Back in Wasilla, after an unusually
warm winter- the spring thaw was much deeper than normal - the
pilings holding up the large Alaska Friends retreat cabin had sunk
several inches on the aquatic side. A team worked to set up
platforms to jack the building up for a footer retrofit (the second
time this has been necessary). I helped build a platform to extend
the dock, for the water level came up four inches this spring.
But by far the most striking instance
of climate change was what we witnessed at Juneau's Mendenhall
Glacier, one of the premier glaciers on a coast full of them. We
kayaked to the glacier one morning to explore an ice cave. Our
kayaking guide, who visits the glacier often, marked for us a retreat
of 30-40 feet in three months. Returning during shore leave from our
cruise a month later, I could see that a large chunk of leaning
glacier we had kayaked near had calved, and the now-smaller icebergs
were spread all over the lake. Our hosts Bill and Susan pointed out
an entire ridge that had been uncovered by melt since they first
viewed Mendenhall in the mid 1980's. The pace of melt for this
iconic glacier is stunning.
Here is the summary of recent
ecological changes in the Alaskan national parks by the park science
advisor, Robert Winfree. Spruce is expanding into formerly treeless
areas; woody vegetation is invading wetlands; open floodplains and
terraces are being widely colonized by vegetation (we saw this along
several of Alaska's mighty rivers); ponds are shrinking; glaciers and
related features are receding.
In his report in this summer's Denali
newsletter, Winfree notes that climate change in Alaska is a
perennial feature. “What's different now is that the changes are
happening faster – fast enough for people to sense and recognize.
The myriad ways in which climate change is affecting our lives,
environment, resources, and the places we care about, will be
incompletely understood for long into the future – but waiting for
complete certainty before responding in unlikely to be a viable
solution.” If you read through the lines of this typically careful
scientific language, the direness of the situation, what the US
military calls a
rapid climate change scenario, is apparent
(though the House of Representatives passed an
amendment forbidding mention of this Bush-era study). It's happening fast all over the
planet, nowhere faster than at the poles. As we now fatefully know,
at its antipode the
West Antarctic ice shelf is in “irreversible
melt.”
We were fortunate to see Alaska's grand
and terrible beauty. It will be a different landscape in the near
future.