Monday, February 27, 2023

 

Time for a Dignified Retreat in the Face of Climate Disruption

For many years now, this blog has swung between deep pessimism about climate disruption and study of possible techno-fixes.  The most time-consuming of those periods of study was 2006-07, when I took off six months to study nuclear power.  My conclusion was that, despite the manifold dangers, it was worth the risk, given the certain doom of fossil fuel addiction.  This was not a popular position at the annual Quaker Earthcare Witness meeting, and some folks were looking daggers at me when I refused consensus with their public statement about its dangers, which my study showed me included errors and lies.  Fifteen years later, world reliance on nuclear power has lessened, and we have produced as much CO2 since 2000 as we did from the outset of the Industrial Revolution, 1790-2000.

But I have always returned to my dark roots, and that has happened again.  Led by the indefatigable Michael Dowd, I have encountered the work of Dahr Jamail, whose book, The End of Ice,  is the latest in a series of books that have profoundly influenced me with respect to climate disruption.  Each time I read accounts of the latest science, I face anew the starkness of our future as a species, and of whole pieces of the biosphere.  In the case of Jamail, meticulous journalism is combined with personal history and a willingness to record his feelings about our dilemma– and crucially, those of the scientific experts he interviews.  Jamail models for me personal practices (he might agree with the broad term “spiritual”) of going to the woods when he reaches overwhelm, and going through grief, fear, and anger, rather than walling them out. For these reasons, I find his truth-telling unparalleled in my extensive study of climate science during the last twenty-odd years. 

In addition to Ice, there are two fine Jamail interviews, one with Dowd, another with Carolyn Baker and Andrew Harvey.  Other extremely helpful interviews in Dowd’s “Post-Doom” series are those with Jem Bendell (“Deep Adaptation”) and the droll and thoughtful Alan Weisman, author of The World Without Us.

Last night, I read Jamail's devastating chapter on the imminent loss to seal-level rise of the Everglades, along with virtually all of South Florida.  In his interviews with engineers, city planners, and scientists in the greater Miami area, he encounters some deeply responsible public officials whose response to the frightening sea-level data is to create a timeline and budgeted priorities in abandoning property prudently and responsibly.  This includes a seaside nuclear reactor site at which the NRC has approved adding another reactor! As I read these encounters, I realized that they were outlining a third position to my own polar travels. That is a position of orderly and dignified retreat, modeled especially by the mayor of South Miami, Phillip Stoddard, who is also professor of biology at Florida International University.  Continuing denial, or unqualified optimism, will only lead to the kinds of chaotic responses that have characterized most of our "adaptive" responses to date.

This is an unglamorous position, and very hard work, especially in an era of continuing Republican denial and the generally inconsistent response to climate and other ongoing large dilemmas that populist politics has mired us in. But it is an admirable response, both practically and morally, which one can contrast with both doomer “quitting” and activist eleventh-hour behavior when midnight is baked into the pudding. (The key data here is that every 100-ppm CO2 increase in the atmosphere produces 100 feet of sea-level rise. At 410 ppm, 130 feet of sea-level rise is insured, no matter what happens with future emissions Ice, 130-31. I'll leave it to my readers to check the elevations of the world's major coastal cities.)  This is responsible behavior in terms of humanity, but also in the interest of the beings involved in the holy mystery of ongoing evolution.  The overarching vision is described in E. O. Wilson’s sublimely optimistic Half-Earth  (now whittled down to "30-30"), highlighted by such efforts as planting trees poleward to insure the best possibility of their surviving the current Sixth Extinction. 


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Friday, December 30, 2016

 

SHEARED NUMBERS

At this mornings meditation, a solitary warbler flew into my visual field. I was filled with gratitude, made more acute by the following emotion, regret that it was only one bird. I thought back to William Bartram's eighteenth-century description of great flocks of birds flying overhead in North Carolina, so thick that he could hardly see the blue sky behind them. Today, if you were a film director shooting that scene, you'd be hard pressed to corral that many song birds from the whole western part of the state.

Not only are we well into the Sixth Extinction, with rates 1000x greater than the rate when we emerged in Africa, but the numbers of wild animals are dropping precipitously. By 2020, scientists predict that we will have lost 2/3 of their total number. We are already past 60%. This data reinforces personal anecdotal experience: numbers of butterflies and moths have dramatically decreased in rural WNC since I was a boy. And I know that the decline in insect numbers radically affects bird populations. In The Moth Snowstorm, Michael McCarthy  speaks of the loss of the “moth snowstorms” many of us remember from the 50's, when our car headlights revealed thick clouds of them every evening. Have you noticed how many fewer bloodied insect carcasses there are on your car hood? Soon, even the Jains will be able to drive our monster fossil-devouring vehicles without collateral damage to the web of life, because the web will have ceased to exist, replaced by a motley grid with large, sagging holes.

EO Wilson, father of sociobiology, who has worked tirelessly for wildlife habitat preservation and teaching ecological values (he calls it biophilia), used to advocate saving pockets of high biodiversity here and there over the planet. After a talk he gave at nearby Warren Wilson College several years back, I asked him whether he had thought about what might happen to these small biodiversity jewels in the era of climate change. Would not some of these third world pockets move into urban areas as climatic zones shifted? He waved off my question, saying that introduced too many variables. “One problem at a time,” he said.

Wilson has now had time to think this one through, and his response is a bold proposal for saving half the earth for wildlife habitat, laid out in his forthcoming book, Half-Earth. These preserves would feature both north-south and east-west corridors to allow migration in response to climate shifts. His idea builds on the longstanding proposal for a “buffalo commons” in the upper Midwest, possibly extending southward into the vast interior of North America. With 15% of the world's land already set aside as natural parks and preserves guaranteed by governmental action, we have a start. I have not read the book yet, but in the reviews I have seen, the proposed areas for these protected lands are in North America, where the work has already begun by private conservationists (Ted Turner's Flying D in Greater Yellowstone and MC Davis's Nokuse in the Florida Panhandle), and Europe, where the European Green Zone has worked for a dozen years to promote setting aside a corridor along the old Iron Curtain, including 20 countries. The idea is stunning in its boldness, and a salutary antedote to the bad news about both species loss and rapidly dwindling wildlife populations, with the loss of 10% of remaining wilderness in the last two decades amplifying the pressure on habitat.

I must say that, as soon as I read about Wilson's proposal, I wanted to see the plan for Africa, South and Southeast Asia, and China. I expect it would not be hard at all in Australia, and am aware of progress in Central and South America that could form a sound foundation for such a plan. Is there the political will for such a project in heavily populated China and India? Indonesia, where palm plantations sprig up, despite legal restrictions? What will happen to the rural poor? Does Wilson and others who share his vision envision any human sharing of this set-aside space, or does he see it as the pure and pristine preserve of other species? Does the proposal integrate the pioneering conservation work that includes indigenous people in monitoring the territories, while also making a living? Their participation in planning the set-asides and monitoring a half-earth zone seems absolutely critical to having a chance for such plan to work. These are all important questions in the context of anthropocene realities, and I plan to return in this blog with an analysis of his discussion on these issues. I do find it troubling that one reviewer (Guardian, April 11 2016) faults Wilson for the lack of specifics on how to implement his plan.

I started this blog during the George W. Bush years, and it matured during the Obama administration. I was highly critical of him during his first term, but ended admiring him for his work against the grain towards stabilizing the climate during the second. Now the unthinkable has happened, and everything we work for as earthkeepers is at risk under the upcoming Boy-King's administration. Resistance is in order, but I also plan to engage the few Republican senators (Lindsey Graham SC, Lamar Alexander TN, and Susan Collins ME) who are on record accepting anthropogenic climate change. NC's own “moderate” Republican, Richard Burr, has made carefully moderated comments on climate in the past, and his office worked quietly with Democrat Kay Hagan while she was in office on renewable installations in the state. He will be hearing from me very soon, as will Lindsey Graham.

But even if we have four years of serious backsliding on carbon emissions in Washington, there is a campaign sponsored by Avaaz for counteracting the Trump attack: big states and big cities ramping up their shift away from fossils. California alone is the sixth biggest economy in the world, and continues to lead the way on renewable energy, vehicle emissions, and other initiatives to stabilize climate. Other countries – Japan, Canada (finally, under Justin Trudeau), several South and Central American nations, and the politically vulnerable European Union – will continue to do their part. But if China and India become shirkers along with the US, then we are in jeoparday of losing any possibility of turning the tide of warming, for some of the positive feedback loops have already begun, and time is almost out.

Pray for your Mother, and love and appreciate every gift you have from her while you can.  Today, I'm especially thankful for those incomparable songbirds.

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Monday, July 20, 2015

 

A Beliefless Faith


J.L. Schellenberg is an analytic philosopher and a religious skeptic. But because he takes evolution seriously, he recognizes the vast potential for future development of the process of “reflective intelligence” which began for us, and from the perspective of Thomas Berry, the universe itself, roughly 50,000 years ago. Though a skeptic with regard to specific beliefs and their truth-claims, he is an imaginative being with a wide-open sense of awe and wonder, which he correctly recognizes as the basis for faith, but not necessarily belief. In the current argument between “scientistic” atheists and creationists, Schellenberg prosecutes both sides for being immature and premature in their judgments, “rationally unsustainable.” (64) “Because we are immature, belief is premature.” (49) But if belief is unwarranted, so is the attack on the very possibility of ultimate reality by militant atheistic writers such as Richard Dawkins. And he criticizes naturalists (Barbara Forrest), who “ regularly overestimate the accomplishments of science and underestimate the potential of religion.” A “beliefless faith“ supports that potential, which he feels is huge over the billion-year future evolution of complex life on Earth. As opposed to the systematic universal doubt of science, Schellenberg argues for an “evolutionary religious skepticism,” that remains open to continuing revelation of the divine over that vast period.

Schellenberg argures that, compared to other hominins, we are still young, and both the seemingly advanced state of scientific progress and our religious profundity are over-rated. He expects our (or other species with a similarly reflective intelligence) future development to lead to “improvements in our spiritual genetic code.” He cites evolutionary biologists who attest that our brains are three times the size and complexity of Lucy, the australopithecus (ca. 3.5 million years BP), who also say that growth of the same magnitude may await us. Of course there is an assumption here that cognitive development is a precondition for spiritual development. Responses to my last post, both at this site and privately, question this.

Here is my take on it. Yes, there is a powerful intuitive strain, as well as a high capacity for emotional intelligence, in many mammals. And, since we will shortly be discussing social intelligence, many social species seem to be far more advanced than we. But I am not yet convinced that the kind of reflection which both Schellenberg and Berry see as key to deeper, conscious spiritual development can be achieved without an extremely high level of cognitive development. Since we cannot communicate through language, we don't really know if this is the case for dolphins, whales, and elephants. Nor can we assume that they do have reflective intelligence, a reflectivity that in our species is capable of going to the very source of the I-thought, as is richly evidenced in Advaita Vedanta and Buddhism.

GROUP RELIGION vs PERSONAL TRANSFORMATION

With respect to this core capacity for reflectivity, individual humans have clearly followed it to attain a high degree of spiritual development, as with founder-models of world religions such as Jesus and Gautama the Buddha. But instances of personal transformation are insufficient when social behavior reputedly based in religious belief remains as sectarian as ever. This continuing juvenile group behavior is clearly one of the main reasons militant atheists attack organized religion, and current headlines underline this doubt.

For my mentor Joanna Macy, developing the capacity for group transformation is critical if we are going to survive the evolutionary bottleneck we face in the immediate future. “Self-reflexive consciousness... does not characterize the next holonic level, the level of social systems. Though an 'esprit de corps' can be sensed in organizations with strong allegiances, it is too diffuse to register and respond to all the feedback necessary for it survival. The locus of decision-making remains with the individual, susceptible to all the vagaries of what that individual considers to be of self-interest...” She goes on to pose the question of whether the present crisis might “engender a collective level of self-interest in choice-making – in other words, self-reflexivity on the next holonic level.” A genuine evolutionary shift would move beyond the kind of group unconscious possession which remains a recent memory in the case of fascism. As she says, “a monolith of uniformity has no internal intelligence. The holonic shift in consciousness would not sacrifice, but instead require, the uniqueness of each part and its point of view. It would begin, almost imperceptibly, with a sense of common fate, and a shared interest to meet it together” Coming Back to Life, 43-44.

Thomas Berry goes so far as to say a “re-invention of the human at the species level” (The Great Work) is necessary for our survival . It would be a great blessing if this were to occur in the few remaining years of the “last decade,” before the window closes, but I continue to be skeptical about “conscious evolution,” which seems to be simply a projection beyond individual instances of transformation . For those of us who place more credence in biological evolution along demonstrated lines, Schellenberg's promise of a billion years of evolutionary process to achieve reinvention is comforting...

A more mature religious stance, one which would invite this holonic shift, would entail an openness to and tolerance of others' experiences of the ultimate. In the realm of things unseen, paranormal, and metaphysical, truth claims are extremely difficult to verify. The more detailed a belief is, the harder it is to convince others with contrary specific beliefs of common ground. Faith, on the other hand, keeps us open to a reality beyond the realm of our limited cognitive and emotive abilities. His argument about belief is a rational restatement of what the Hindu Advaitists have already argued more eloquently. Krishna Prem pointed out in his invaluable “Initiation into Yoga” that every belief, when carefully examined, is a floating kite tethered by a string which returns to a corresponding doubt. More fundamentally, my master Ramana Maharshi punctures the fundamental belief shared by almost all religions that reality consists of god, world, and self, saying that all are illusory, for the Self that projects this habitual trinity is the only abiding reality.

Schellenberg does not attempt an exhaustive review of the history of religious practices, content with the generalization that ongoing religious squabbles and wars prove its immaturity. When he looks out at the social scape of current practice, he sees the same dreary picture that the atheist critics do, without giving up on religious possibility. But there are small religious communities that have blazed a different path. One that I know intimately is Quakerism, the Religious Society of Friends. Though George Fox's original vision was through Jesus as the historical Christ, his imaginative genius led him directly to the Light as a universal indwelling spirit in all humankind. So, though many Quakers remain Christian or recognize their Christian origins, we have no creed, and do not erect barriers to other sects due to purported beliefs. “There is that of God in every man” (Fox) is what we try to recognize, no matter what the other may call that. Quakerism is the western expression of the Upanisadic sage's axiom, “There is one Being, but wise men call it by different names.”

For me, Quaker practice at its best exemplifies the beliefless or “imaginative” faith that Schellenberg sees as a fundamental requirement for an evolutionary religion. Quakers practice a corporate mysticism where truth experienced as revelatory is tested by the group, especially the elders (“seasoned Friends”), who bring a loving and open skepticism to specific belief claims that emanate from personal experience. The earliest Quakers called themselves Friends of the Truth, and one of their immediate roots was in the Diggers, whose leader Gerrard Winstanley equated Christ and Reason. A religion that is both experiential and experimental, it is not tied to biblical truth, but rather to that Spirit by which [the scriptures] were written (Fox, Journal, 70 in Armistead ed). “The truth is more holy than the book to me,” Fox responded when asked to swear on the Bible. Furthermore, Quakers have a strong commitment to “continuing revelation,” for the divine is active at all times, throughout history, if we will only listen. What could be a better context for practicing evolutionary religion?

The number of American Quakers is now half what it was in the 1970's, when I first encountered them. They do not have significant numbers anywhere except in Kenya, where they were evangelized by a branch of Quakerism closer to mainstream Protestantism. But the story of social evolution is not necessarily of continuous growth. I hope that, going forward, Quakers do a better job of sharing what they have to offer, especially with the significant number of youth who are “spiritual but not religious.” We do not know what practices might survive the coming evolutionary bottleneck for complex life on Earth. But I pray that Quakerism, particularly that which reflects most closely its first generation (conservative Quakers, who are in even greater decline), is one of them. Even if we experience extinction on the scale of the Permian catastrophe 250 million years ago, when 95% of species perished, the possibility remains for four recoveries from such an event over a billion-year evolutionary future. And we will need the most effective models of religious tolerance and openness to continuing revelation (with means of testing them) available for any such unimaginatively long recovery. Hopefully, after the current sixth extinction, the Earth will not witness another mass extinction event induced by the behavior of one errant tenant species.




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